07 August 2016
The post 2016 Election reality check.
8th of August 2016
It is Blue Monday (a good one) for the DA after their election wins in Cape Town, Pretoria and Port Elizabeth. In PE they were out in full force and celebrated like mad over the weekend.
Thousands gather at DA’s thank you rally
The DA should not make too much of their “success”, because if you compare the 2011 results to the 2016 results you will see that the DA increased their voting percentage only by 3% (24%-27%). The ANC lost 9% on voting percentage (63% to 54%).
So who received the majority of ANC votes? Not the DA, but the EFF. Remember that in 2011 the EFF didn’t even exist yet and did not take part in the elections. In 2016 they received slightly over 8% of the votes.
They only narrowly won in some of the major cities such as PE (46%) and Pretoria (43%) but failed to obtain 50%... which means they now have to form coalitions with some minority parties.
On the other hand, the ANC won Durban outright with 56%, East London with 59% and Bloemfontein with 57% and in Johannesburg the ANC won with 45% beating the DA by 6%.
However, judging from the leftist media in SA, it is as if their DA-rling, won an outright majority across the country. Who do they think they are fooling?
The ANC is still firmly in power and when you add the EFF’s 8% to the 54% of the ANC then the ANC hardly lost a vote, because all the EFF is, is a more radical version of the Marxist ANC. Be honest; does the ANC seem worried to you? I don't think they are worried at all.
Like I said back then when the ANC kicked Malema out of the ANC Youth League and he started the EFF; his firing was a promotion not a demotion. He just tipped the dialectic scale more towards the ANC.
The DA should also not misunderstand their victory in Cape Town and get too cozy and secure in their position. The blacks who voted for them there are NOT DA supporters. They are still fully ANC supporters who just wanted to teach the ANC a lesson.
A few years ago I spoke to some disgruntled Xhosas in Cape Town who told me that if the ANC does not deliver they will punish them like they did by voting the DA into power in Cape Town.
The DA is not in charge in Cape Town because the blacks love them and their policies; No, the blacks still love the ANC, but the ANC has been a bit naughty in their eyes by not delivering quickly enough so they needed a spanking. That is all it was.
The DA’s win in Cape Town and the 8% the EFF got across SA are warning signs to the ANC from their own regular voters that unless they start giving the blacks what they want, they WILL vote them out across the country…however they won’t go to the DA. They will go to the EFF.
Nevertheless the DA did a fairly good job of governing Cape Town and the Western Cape. The mistake they make is that they think the blacks love them and admire them for it. No, the blacks actually resent them for it, because it holds a mirror up to them and shows them that blacks cannot govern. The Blacks still see the DA as a white party and the ANC as a black party although both have multiracial memberships.
If the ANC can sort out their infighting and start delivering free houses, cushy high-paying jobs, free land, free electricity, free everything to the blacks at a faster rate, they can actually retake Cape Town and the Western Cape at the drop of a hat.
It will be interesting to see what the DA’s strategy is going to be, because they believe that clean and transparent governance is enough and blacks will vote for them when they carry on governing like that.
I am afraid they are out of touch with black voters. Blacks actually do not mind corruption. As Credo Mutwa wrote in his books, corruption is part of their culture.
Blacks don’t mind a corrupt ANC government stealing all the tax money. Their only concern is that they are not getting any of it. The ANC is greedy and wants to steal everything for themselves and not share with the common blacks as in the customary Ubuntu way. That is why the blacks are disgruntled and frustrated. The ANC promised them all the free stuff and now cannot deliver, because there simply is not enough to go around for everyone.
It is actually quite simple. There are 50 million blacks and there are only four million whites left to steal from. The pizza-pie is only so big and if everyone in the ANC takes a slice there is nothing left for the common black man in the street.
Frustration is going to boil over some or other time and the blacks are going to run out of patience waiting for the “Red Robin Hood” ANC to dish out the loot. The only thing they can do then, is to take matters into their own hands and take what they can take, before the ANC takes it all.